Strait of Hormuz commercial traffic remains heavily suppressed
07 Aug 2026
AIS-derived data in Trident's Voluntary Reporting Area overview put Strait of Hormuz traffic at roughly four per cent of the pre-conflict average in the week ending 6 August.
Situation
For the seven days to 6 August, the overview recorded 18 outbound and 21 inbound full transits — both approximately four per cent of the pre-conflict average. The underlying data is AIS-derived and does not capture EMCOM-silent transits.
What has changed
Traffic remains heavily suppressed rather than recovering. The pattern is consistent with deferral or avoidance of transits, not simply a switch between available routes.
Operational relevance
The continued suppression indicates that operators are not simply switching between available routes; some planned transits are being deferred or abandoned in response to the operating environment.
Trident assessment
Traffic behaviour continues to indicate deliberate risk avoidance rather than a return towards normal Strait of Hormuz operations. Figures are AIS-derived and do not capture EMCOM-silent vessels, so they should be read as indicative rather than complete.
What to watch
Whether weekly transit counts begin to recover towards pre-conflict levels, bearing in mind that AIS-derived figures understate EMCOM-silent movements.
Related report
Maritime Security Report · 7 August 2026
Voluntary Reporting Area Overview
Read the reportSource
AIS-derived transit data — Trident Voluntary Reporting Area overview · 7 August 2026
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